Economics, institutions, and technology.
I'm Israel Fulton, an analyst at Analysis Group in Washington, D.C. I'm interested in how markets and institutions shape decisions, and what careful analysis can tell us about them.
I work and write about economics, international affairs, artificial intelligence, climate, and energy. This site brings together my analytical projects, research, and essays.
Selected projects
Do Concert Tickets Get Cheaper Before Showtime?
I analyzed repeated observations of resale prices and inventory across 632 U.S. concerts. Small median price changes hid large differences between shows, and a model for later price increases weakened on a separate historical sample.
Truthful Representation
Why do we expect timely disclosure in securities markets yet tolerate so much opacity in corporate political spending? I use First Amendment theory, information economics, and a stylized election model to argue for disclosure, shareholder authorization, and anti-fraud rules designed to preserve political expression.
Selected writing
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Sanctions Are Not Economic Bombs. They Are Network Weapons
How sanctions draw on economic networks, and how adaptation can erode their future leverage.
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Campaign Finance Is Securities Fraud Without the Consequences
A comparison of disclosure and information asymmetry in securities markets and electoral politics.
All writing and research notes · Limiting Factors on Substack